Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 18.095302 20.577499 23.283582 26.454100 30.068862 34.064005 38.817753
2024-11-03 15.091224 18.442521 22.370844 27.320734 33.399994 40.633981 49.913197
2024-11-10 12.979450 16.927263 21.868365 28.519674 37.261287 48.389601 63.683331
2024-11-17 10.948482 15.171569 20.791109 28.839356 40.113202 55.408774 77.848926
2024-11-24 8.942377 13.116877 19.000564 27.933877 41.224402 60.377466 90.278631
2024-12-01 7.350391 11.376640 17.368472 26.984316 42.133946 65.259400 103.575287
2024-12-08 6.260221 10.197820 16.369540 26.813274 44.196734 72.241607 121.453893
2024-12-15 5.461219 9.340665 15.729597 27.103626 47.060550 81.016984 143.997133
2024-12-22 4.743083 8.495740 14.972690 27.073562 49.400346 89.370743 167.549300
2024-12-29 4.294792 8.042695 14.810854 28.060125 53.726515 102.002837 201.444288
2025-01-05 3.806956 7.434964 14.272917 28.264491 56.652999 112.620772 233.747635
2025-01-12 3.290337 6.685077 13.346430 27.558400 57.685329 119.789379 260.666443
2025-01-19 2.880706 6.091690 12.655002 27.265092 59.648032 129.509059 295.788142
2025-01-26 2.632488 5.790190 12.509322 28.106439 64.235762 145.773124 349.343989
2025-02-02 2.440245 5.576507 12.516109 29.296953 69.879640 165.599814 416.060324
2025-02-09 2.204361 5.223685 12.157516 29.590203 73.519539 181.600626 477.422081
2025-02-16 1.920285 4.708420 11.339149 28.633222 73.939638 189.951310 521.329236
2025-02-23 1.675139 4.244275 10.563249 27.638225 74.081409 197.690821 565.703164
2025-03-02 1.505628 3.939842 10.128604 27.446221 76.329152 211.506820 630.847307
2025-03-09 1.379480 3.725563 9.887060 27.730109 79.967592 229.972132 714.588428
2025-03-16 1.253874 3.490498 9.550508 27.688563 82.689844 246.485043 796.855150
2025-03-23 1.182580 3.393202 9.572420 28.689199 88.740323 274.238231 922.697261
2025-03-30 1.089209 3.216237 9.340219 28.891081 92.403453 295.557007 1033.109894